Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $12.33K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $47.67K
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$17.67K
Polymarket Trader
TateIsAManlet
0x32658d61f095d603fa7f8ea57799d392131334c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.91K
- Realized PnL
- $144.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $47.67K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $12.33K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $17.67K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $10.66K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $455.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $366.66
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $230.34
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $474.27
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $983.85
- Potential profit
- $980.4
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$669.3
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $828.52
- Potential profit
- $828.52
- User PnL
- -$459.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.69K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 17.9% 5 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes 0.2% 10,944.4 shares
- Son Heungmin: 3+ goalsNo 99.9% 14 shares
- Son Heungmin: 2+ goalsNo 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 70% 105 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over 99.8% 9,305.84 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Over 99% 1,354.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 82,492 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 7,000 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 63% 226.88 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 62.6% 1,324 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 25% 420.86 shares