No position
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.23K
- Potential payout
- $13.23K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.23
Polymarket Trader
0x326fe03ABa2bCBF071149C995df269D2A5110031-1759674585833
0x326fe03aba2bcbf071149c995df269d2a5110031
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.25K
- Realized PnL
- $7.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $20.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $15.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $880.81
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.56
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788.61
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.16
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.01
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.79
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.22
No position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.63
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.74
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.55
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.08
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.42
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?No 99.9% 13,225 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.6% 13,185 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 28 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 13,000 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 32% 100 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 36% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 12,000 shares
- Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?No 20% 125 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 91% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 96% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 96.1% 10,000 shares