No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $8.28K
- Potential payout
- $8.76K
- Potential profit
- $482.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $266.13
Polymarket Trader
SteamRollerPennies
0x3275a6715b074e68bcd5454bf40a60bcd3ea2e5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.07K
- Realized PnL
- $16.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $715.75
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $334.25
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$751.09
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$108.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
Ends Jul 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $719.96
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.74
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.77
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.85
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.71
No position
US forces in Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.75
No position
Israel confirms it has nuclear weapons in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.5
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.76
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.48
No position
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.99
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.9
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.6
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.26
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.39
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.86
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 67% 633.74 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 66.8% 4,497.22 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No 85% 5,000 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97.3% 4,546.92 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 92% 2,735.4 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes 51.9% 4,141.26 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes 35% 2,132.7 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes 34% 2,008.56 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97% 850 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97.1% 406 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97.2% 360 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 97.3% 230.26 shares