Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $5.73K
- Potential payout
- $42K
- Potential profit
- $36.27K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$987
Polymarket Trader
bitcoinorange
@bitcoinzhang1
0x328ae9a0564d71f721efc87356d583ea73a030c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.72K
- Realized PnL
- $39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $54.36
- Potential payout
- $21.75K
- Potential profit
- $21.69K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$277.43
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $18.3K
- Potential payout
- $19.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.44K
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.67K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$347.44
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $28.29
- Potential payout
- $8.08K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$569.2
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$513.92
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $207.37
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $22.64
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $455.85
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $156.53
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.97
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$317.2
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $523.6
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$785.4
Yes position
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.64
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- User PnL
- $75.46
Yes position
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $890.55
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$233.55
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $770.18
- Potential payout
- $815
- Potential profit
- $44.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $185.82
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $20.36
- Potential payout
- $783
- Potential profit
- $762.64
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$331.39
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $77.49
- Potential payout
- $738
- Potential profit
- $660.51
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$107.01
No position
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $605.5
- Potential payout
- $692
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $43.77
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $245.13
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $249
- Potential profit
- $244.89
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.5
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.26
No position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.78
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.1
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.18
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.69
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.26
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $165.34
Yes position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.78
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.78
No position
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.68
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.06
Yes position
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.03
No position
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 907.73 shares
- Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 524 shares
- Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 476.24 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes 8% 900 shares
- USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 10% 845 shares
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 3.6% 250 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 96.5% 4,923 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 96.4% 556 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 81.1% 21 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 30 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 80.9% 128.33 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 80.8% 17 shares