Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $682.56
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $669.04
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Polymarket Trader
MarkF1
0x329d497afb69091aa792564fb006e2fa61938dca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $683.49
- Realized PnL
- -$232.24
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.06
- Potential profit
- $26.06
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$441.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 58.4% 12.23 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 59% 1,047.5 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.7% 12.24 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 51% 2.35 shares
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes 92% 1.41 shares
- Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 38% 1,047.5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23% 15.22 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77% 4.53 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77.1% 4.54 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 50.9% 1,351.6 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 7,005.65 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 4.63 shares