No position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- User PnL
- -$20.89
Polymarket Trader
zachariase
0x32a33caebba642e09f9b6bb95bc3b6e1c23406a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.36
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $916.67
- Potential profit
- $916.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.04
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $823.75
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $7.78
- Potential payout
- $676.32
- Potential profit
- $668.54
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $69.11
- Potential payout
- $658.18
- Potential profit
- $589.07
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.04
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.46
- Potential profit
- $510.46
- User PnL
- -$5.62
Yes position
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $106.4
- Potential payout
- $478.2
- Potential profit
- $371.8
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.98
- Potential profit
- $338.98
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- -$17.33
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.86
- Potential profit
- $322.86
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.44
- Potential profit
- $210.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.59
- Potential profit
- $206.59
- User PnL
- -$134.28
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.4
- Potential profit
- $174.4
- User PnL
- -$141.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $103.03
- Potential payout
- $173.17
- Potential profit
- $70.13
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $25.69
Yes position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.94
- Potential profit
- $145.94
- User PnL
- -$78.81
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.07
- Potential profit
- $145.07
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139
- Potential profit
- $139
- User PnL
- -$94.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.34
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.95
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.43
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.49
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.39
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.35
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.6
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.54
Yes position
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.61
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.93
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.71
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.51
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.95
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.58
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.45
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.26
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.88
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.82
No position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 44.7% 173.17 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
- SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.1% 113.2 shares
- SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 181.8 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.9% 145.07 shares
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 0.3% 1,709.5 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No 13% 769.23 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No 0.6% 1,709.5 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.7% 287.86 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 0.5% 35 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 100 shares