Polymarket Trader

Oklysh

0x32d4b87343edb67b76c5a45a63be24a28576ae90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.45
Realized PnL: $235.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $105.22
Potential profit: $100.43
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$20.21

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $25.12
Potential payout: $98.52
Potential profit: $73.39
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $98.21
Potential profit: $96.69
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $65.03
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.3%
Current value: $23.3
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $22.16
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $18.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $33.88
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.48
Potential profit: $22.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $13.52
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $12.21
Potential profit: $8.06
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.53
Potential profit: $11.53
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

French election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $11.48
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $8.88
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $10.71
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $10.34
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Toulon win?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $8.91
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Ireland win?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.83

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will Trump announce military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will France win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

US military action against Iran before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 35% 8.57 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 10.87 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 15.24 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 9.43 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 11.9 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 18.63 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

34.5% 5.8 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

48.9% 2.05 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 63% 7.94 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares