No position
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $87.96
- Potential payout
- $140.42
- Potential profit
- $52.46
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$52.04
Polymarket Trader
42dgfda3
0x32f022b81f62266c3c589c6db32c552820b22c45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.45
- Realized PnL
- $201.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $133.33
- Potential payout
- $133.8
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $90.05
- Potential payout
- $90.73
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.11
- Potential payout
- $50.24
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.83
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6200 in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will XRP reach $6.00 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $3.30 on October 16?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 99.4% 133.8 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 99.7% 140.42 shares
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?No 99.2% 90.73 shares
- Will Xi meet with Takaichi by July 31, 2026?No 99.5% 50.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No 99.8% 168.34 shares
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No 99.3% 120.81 shares
- Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 9?No 99.9% 170.17 shares
- Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 112.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No 99.8% 200.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.6% 200.8 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 110.11 shares
- Will CZ post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No 99.9% 105.11 shares