Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.96K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
john1414
0x32f9af65588fdac72e9e178eb27d6cebb52e3344
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $502.57
- Realized PnL
- $791.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $206.65
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.77K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$804.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $279.63
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.14K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.99
- Potential profit
- $576.99
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $16.29
- Potential payout
- $296.16
- Potential profit
- $279.87
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$116.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $52.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 74.7% 606.06 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 66% 606.06 shares
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes 26% 576.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Yes 43% 1,414.77 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 45% 296.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes 2% 9,964.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Yes 3.5% 1,414.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 49% 400.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 57.8% 323.8 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 20.6% 2,476.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 58% 881.09 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 20% 2,502.8 shares