Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $60.59
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $3.63
Polymarket Trader
Shay1
0x32f9ba2b1d90d07d7c4de0427e5d23597bd89158
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.59
- Realized PnL
- $3.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.96
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $678.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.65
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.6% 874.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 11% 37.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 9% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 11% 27.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 11% 27.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 1% 300 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 2% 150 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 6% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 15% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp 19.2% 15.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETUp 24% 12.5 shares