Polymarket Trader

bleakhaiku

0x32f9f956d060c55e4506be1a40a12e63d7a09c2c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.79
Realized PnL: $48.75
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $469.21
Potential profit: $456.54
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$17.33

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $14.44
Potential payout: $297.67
Potential profit: $283.23
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$15.56

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $10.41
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $153.52
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $14.95
Potential payout: $109.49
Potential profit: $94.54
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $16.01
Potential payout: $81.08
Potential profit: $65.07
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 68.7%
Current value: $33.32
Potential payout: $48.5
Potential profit: $15.18
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Brazil leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 70.1% 48.5 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 10.1% 297.67 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 6.4% 469.21 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 109.49 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 81.08 shares
Brazil leading at halftime?

Yes 95% 125 shares
Brazil leading at halftime?

Yes 56% 125 shares