Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- User PnL
- -$207.27
Polymarket Trader
Graken
0x32fe2fd22a4713c7635049b0193b586cebe8eb6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.6
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.77
- Potential profit
- $712.77
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $613.32
- Potential profit
- $613.32
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.05
- Potential profit
- $610.05
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $19.44
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $536.11
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$80.56
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $14.21
- Potential payout
- $546.57
- Potential profit
- $532.36
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$351.79
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $157.51
- Potential payout
- $545.95
- Potential profit
- $388.44
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- -$42.49
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $518.62
- Potential profit
- $518.62
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.38
- Potential profit
- $276.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $240.08
- Potential profit
- $238.64
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$57.92
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.37
- Potential profit
- $227.37
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.17
- Potential profit
- $161.17
- User PnL
- -$80
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.94
- Potential profit
- $150.94
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.15
- Potential profit
- $148.15
- User PnL
- -$40
Arthur Fery position
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.62
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $197
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.47
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.01
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.97
Yes position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.42
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.57
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.69
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.04
Yes position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.48
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
Mirra Andreeva position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.71x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No 67% 546.57 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.8% 968.14 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.7% 968.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 62% 8.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 62% 8.06 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevArthur Fery 14% 142.86 shares
- Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes 16.3% 123.01 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.9% 680.27 shares
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland 26.2% 76.19 shares
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium 26.5% 75.47 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.5% 870.44 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 680.27 shares