Polymarket Trader

Guyton

0x32ff61def040af168298bd19b436fe2ae4c2f19d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $326.76
Realized PnL: $510.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.39
Potential profit: $264.39
User PnL: -$149.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $159.49
Potential payout: $263.63
Potential profit: $104.13
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $38.61
Potential payout: $170.48
Potential profit: $131.87
Multiplier: 4.42x
User PnL: -$28.39

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $32.84
Potential payout: $169.7
Potential profit: $136.86
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$72.23

Yes position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $36.57
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $56.02
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$13.43

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$52.5

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $52.24
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.2
Potential profit: $46.2
User PnL: -$25.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.6

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.56

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.38

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.97

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.73

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.83

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.8

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.61

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $10.43

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

No position

Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 89.6% 98 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 69% 50.72 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 62% 112.9 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 43% 116.28 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 57% 165.11 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 95.1% 100 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 75% 5 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 80% 125 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 77% 135.8 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 81% 135.8 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 64% 60 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 66% 60.61 shares