Polymarket Trader

popdababy

0x3305fc5dcf7e2e21464b9860e35dfdaf5faefc1b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $735.17
Realized PnL: $613.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $534.12
Potential payout: $639.67
Potential profit: $105.55
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $315.12

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $201.05
Potential payout: $206.41
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.43

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

No position

Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?

Yes 96.9% 206.41 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 80% 437.5 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.5% 7,461.06 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 5.2% 2,040.19 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 46.3% 236.58 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6.1% 5,420.88 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 34.2% 876.25 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 84% 448.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 48% 24.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 47% 24.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 66% 20.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 35% 28.2 shares