Polymarket Trader

likich

0x330610f7b21f33a3cb9f047824dc1a71d62a2dc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $318.85
Realized PnL: -$238.62
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $72
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $62.65
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $36.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $23.7
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $37.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.21
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: -$4.05

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$2.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.38

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $15.36

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.48

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$52.97

No position

Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

No position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Elon register the America Party in July?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$199.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

No 83.8% 40 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

No 82.9% 20 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64.2% 20 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 83.1% 39.99 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 84% 60 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 60 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 88% 70 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 70 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?

No 99.9% 220 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 50 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?

No 92% 220 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 99.1% 250 shares