No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.45K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $572
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $434.93
Polymarket Trader
JohnYesNot
0x330cc0f6bc8c3e4746733f66ea7e08122dc8eaa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.65K
- Realized PnL
- -$109.38
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.89K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $609.5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $498.19
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $674.02
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $278.44
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $832.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $404.4
- Potential payout
- $785.23
- Potential profit
- $380.84
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $263.4
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $435.83
- Potential payout
- $680.98
- Potential profit
- $245.15
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $141.19
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $515.45
- Potential payout
- $652.47
- Potential profit
- $137.02
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $172.41
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $372.5
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $206.96
- Potential payout
- $222.18
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $56.88
- Potential payout
- $65.76
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$31
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$78.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 72% 26 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 81% 12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 262 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 29% 100 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 55% 425.67 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 83% 300 shares
- Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No 92% 222.18 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 27% 55.51 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes 38% 76.3 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 40% 77.46 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 43.1% 41.77 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes 65.1% 53.76 shares