Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $16.96K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.5
Polymarket Trader
PapaFernandMayembo21
0x333a9b68562997253a13062602a22517297bbd76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.71
- Realized PnL
- $2.69K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.67K
- Potential profit
- $13.67K
- User PnL
- -$609.97
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.29K
- Potential profit
- $8.29K
- User PnL
- -$526.61
Yes position
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$106.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $4.66K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.33
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$75.57
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Under position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.74K
- User PnL
- -$76.94
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.69K
- User PnL
- -$48.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$162.15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$96.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$370
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$16.18
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$83
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$196
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$212.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.91
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.82
Yes position
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.6
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.93
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.26
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.77
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $85.72
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.73
Y
Yes position
Spain leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.56
Yes position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.68
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Iranian coup attempt before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Under position
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
United States position
Spread: United States (-2.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes 94% 110.17 shares
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes 34.9% 71.71 shares
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Under 11% 100 shares
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Under 10% 100 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 France?Yes 8.8% 170.45 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany 20% 95.4 shares