Polymarket Trader

Java

0x334143e1d388726a1b102b558abb2c0d7fae283e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $206.28
Realized PnL: $172.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $124.52
Potential profit: $122.96
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $72.56
Potential profit: $54.06
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $64.7
Potential profit: $54.67
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$29.61

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 54.9%
Current value: $30.02
Potential payout: $54.73
Potential profit: $24.71
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $24.05
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $4.05

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $32.21
Potential payout: $49.18
Potential profit: $16.97
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $36.04
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $5.18
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $35.14
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $31.71
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Vox get a cabinet seat in the next Andalusian government?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $21.07
Potential payout: $21.45
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $9.36
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $8.85
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $7.17
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.97
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.01

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.1

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.37

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 37% 54.05 shares
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?

Yes 54.8% 54.73 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 30% 10 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 79% 37.97 shares
Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.4% 40.32 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 56% 7.89 shares