Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $195.75
- Potential payout
- $225
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Polymarket Trader
fromthetrenches
0x33461543ae491c55e762cfd7cf94e4411956353b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $727.7
- Realized PnL
- $489.57
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
N
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $96.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $43.15
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $43.63
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $37.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Current value
- $27.69
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $21.69
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.21
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $16.57
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.55
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.9
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 25?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 88% 100 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 84% 100 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 73% 5 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?No 98% 100 shares
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by July 31?No 72% 25 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 80% 50 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 80% 50 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 92.3% 30 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 88.4% 50 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 88% 31.59 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 76% 50 shares