No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $340.06K
- Potential payout
- $402.2K
- Potential profit
- $62.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$35.13K
Polymarket Trader
ranger44
0x335592400e402c26583ce8b56d12605e9548a126
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.11K
- Realized PnL
- $230.63K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.85
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.81K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.71K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.29K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $187.56
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.84
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.29
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.09
No position
Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$34.53
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$918.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 95% 38,415.07 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 62,672.35 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.2% 26,069.27 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.7% 187,064.04 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 95% 3,431.17 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.4% 44,558.34 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.2% 500 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 99.1% 6,131.94 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.2% 84.94 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.5% 3,477.94 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 82.3% 9,256.68 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 95% 5,395 shares