Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $75.42
- Potential payout
- $954.63
- Potential profit
- $879.21
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- -$141.3
Polymarket Trader
0x3387...c3f7
0x33878fe42f2bd19f01421d857ff8652bcab9c3f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $947.5
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $459.08
- Potential payout
- $874.44
- Potential profit
- $415.36
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$40.4
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $312.53
- Potential payout
- $612.8
- Potential profit
- $300.27
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $67.41
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $73.55
- Potential payout
- $565.79
- Potential profit
- $492.24
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$251.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $108.32
- Potential payout
- $481.44
- Potential profit
- $373.11
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$16.85
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $166.04
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $22.64
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $66.04
Yes position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $16.12
- Potential payout
- $153.51
- Potential profit
- $137.39
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $61.54
- Potential payout
- $106.1
- Potential profit
- $44.56
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.23
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $32.96
- Potential payout
- $38.55
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $37.23
- Potential profit
- $32.2
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $29.16
- Potential profit
- $18.23
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $21.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.12
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $22.21
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.08
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.86
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.94
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$121.48
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 20% 10.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 14.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 60% 36.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 2.94 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 22% 675.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 36.1% 547.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 238.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 294.12 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 34% 238.55 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 87.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 192.31 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15.7% 37.23 shares