Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $27.73
- Potential payout
- $85.34
- Potential profit
- $57.6
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Polymarket Trader
0x3390...51b9
0x3390542d24a05f0745390e7dd2f91488191a51b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $267.9
- Realized PnL
- $35.46
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.47
- Potential payout
- $73.62
- Potential profit
- $65.15
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $57.28
- Potential profit
- $50.69
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.23
Y
Yes position
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $7.72
- Potential payout
- $53.22
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $35.53
- Potential payout
- $39.05
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.17
N
No position
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $32.51
- Potential payout
- $35.53
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $31.52
- Potential payout
- $32.04
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $26.88
- Potential profit
- $19.08
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $1.08
N
No position
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $17.78
- Potential payout
- $26.73
- Potential profit
- $8.96
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $26.73
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $21.75
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $20.48
- Potential payout
- $20.68
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $19.64
- Potential profit
- $13.45
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.03
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $19.32
- Potential profit
- $16.23
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $12.17
- Potential profit
- $9.6
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $8.64
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $7.06
- Potential payout
- $10.54
- Potential profit
- $3.48
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 20 and 25 minutes long?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.85
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.72
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Argentina position
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
No position
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
N
No position
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Y
Yes position
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.51
N
No position
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.37
N
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.29
N
No position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $52.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.16
N
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No 41% 7.08 shares
- Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?No 81% 11.45 shares
- Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No 40% 6.13 shares
- Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No 80% 26.73 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes 51% 7.55 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?Yes 82.4% 15.65 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes 56% 7.55 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?No 13% 15.85 shares
- Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes 41% 7.88 shares
- Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?No 92.6% 16.11 shares
- Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?No 72.9% 31.59 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?No 98% 20.68 shares