pried

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $11.54
Potential payout: $233.17
Potential profit: $221.63
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $140.85
Potential profit: $132.89
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $78.69
Potential profit: $62.56
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $72.88
Potential profit: $71.17
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $43.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.39
Potential profit: $28.39
User PnL: -$6.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.04
Potential profit: $15.04
User PnL: -$7.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $10.03
User PnL: -$6.21

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $3.86
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $10.02
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$3.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?