Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
logan
0x33c577c7b2eaa9c3d896790b085e40c219772230
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- $4.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $103.95
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $80.12
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$19.88
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $95.45
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $813.64
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.34
- Potential profit
- $840.34
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $757.48
- Potential profit
- $749.52
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$92.05
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $112.41
- Potential payout
- $751.88
- Potential profit
- $639.47
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $12.41
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $746.07
- Potential profit
- $746.07
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $41.79
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $672.5
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$58.21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $678.16
- Potential profit
- $675.79
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$197.63
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $657.51
- Potential profit
- $657.51
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $61.87
- Potential payout
- $651.26
- Potential profit
- $589.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$38.13
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $91.18
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $497.06
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $107.89
- Potential payout
- $584.8
- Potential profit
- $476.9
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $7.9
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $34.56
- Potential payout
- $531.65
- Potential profit
- $497.1
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$65.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $81.58
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $444.74
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$18.42
N
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $121.87
- Potential payout
- $497.42
- Potential profit
- $375.55
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $21.87
Yes position
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $472.9
- Potential profit
- $472.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $85.29
- Potential payout
- $461.01
- Potential profit
- $375.72
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.87
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.44
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.62
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.14
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.5
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.91
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.27
No position
Will Pump.fun launch a token in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.18
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.64
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.06
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $124.23
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.78
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.05
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.99
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.31
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.12
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.04
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.57
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?No 20.1% 497.42 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 32.2% 310.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 526.32 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 24.8% 403.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes 28.9% 345.96 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 39.4% 253.68 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 36.9% 269.71 shares
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 1,250 shares