No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $39.86K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Polymarket Trader
hawkj
@crypto_0xhawk
0x33dc4cd4a175180fda291f2ab1876e03e247bb81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.14K
- Realized PnL
- $59.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $15.78K
- Potential payout
- $27.93K
- Potential profit
- $12.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $6.83K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$950.66
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.3%
- Current value
- $6.33K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $3.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.58x
- User PnL
- -$3.17K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $9.7K
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $279.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $56.61
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.37K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $630
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $600.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.28K
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $72.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.25
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.78
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.47
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.89
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.76
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $687.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98.3% 1,239.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 9.1% 8,337.5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 1.4% 10,605.02 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 0.7% 3,764.04 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 0.8% 1,021.22 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 67% 1,021.22 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 50.4% 1,170.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.9% 19,993.62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No 97.3% 1,132.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 78% 1,393.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes 11% 3,000.04 shares