No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.6
Polymarket Trader
0x33de...1015
0x33dec3c6f49c95adba26d0281d3bf312ffca1015
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $149.04
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.58
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 90% 7 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 8 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 14% 12 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.5% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 32% 7 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 12 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 91.9% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 21.2% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 78.9% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 13 shares