Polymarket Trader

willo3

0x33e27ac64a453337cfcea8345c705a407c573a1b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.87K
Realized PnL: $13.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $1.4
User PnL: $205.82

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $1.08
User PnL: $305.19

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $655.81
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $244.42

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $989.53
Potential payout: $995
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $67.02
Potential payout: $938.6
Potential profit: $871.58
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$27.23

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $799.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.35

Yes position

Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.35

Yes position

Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.35

Yes position

Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $749.62
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $611.45
Potential payout: $611.76
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $31.05

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 43.8%
Current value: $245.28
Potential payout: $560
Potential profit: $314.72
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: $153.59

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $111.28
Potential payout: $552.24
Potential profit: $440.96
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: $41.53

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $499.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $2.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $143
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $57
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $54.51
Potential profit: $47.15
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $662.2

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $529.77

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $493.26

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.95

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $414.77

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $385.93

Yes position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.37

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $294.77

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.9

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $213.79

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.48

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $171.8

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $168.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.97

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.19

Yes position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.26

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: $120.36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.98

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $96.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 99.6% 745 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 99.6% 250 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 61% 500 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38% 193.37 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 60% 861.9 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 39% 456.21 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38% 108.18 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 12.9% 475 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 51% 361.82 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 11% 77.24 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 96% 93.11 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 16% 500 shares