No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $405.65
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Polymarket Trader
0x33E8bf542C455D57713ebdb303Ad0997ae482896-1722508260680
0x33e8bf542c455d57713ebdb303ad0997ae482896
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $445.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $614.48
- Potential profit
- $614.48
- User PnL
- -$95.32
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $39.66
- Potential payout
- $417.43
- Potential profit
- $377.77
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$183.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.36
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.82
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.7
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.95
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.07
Yes position
Iranian coup attempt before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Iran military response by Sunday?
Ends Aug 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.94
No position
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.04
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Yes position
$BTC dips below $55k before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
UK strike on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
No position
Iran strike on Israel in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran military response by Monday?
Ends Aug 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.92
Yes position
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 67.9% 637.42 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 15.7% 1,273.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes 12% 71.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 53.4% 417.43 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 62.2% 482.7 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 33% 636.36 shares
- Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes 3.8% 702.79 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes 15% 197.29 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 6% 499.92 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes 35% 166.64 shares
- Iranian coup attempt before July?Yes 1.8% 208.34 shares
- UK strike on Iran before July?Yes 0.2% 40 shares