Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $378.25
- Potential payout
- $5.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.4K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $78.26
Polymarket Trader
Gushe
0x33f5766ffecc24cb5ac4f4d8c1e1d3df641397d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $899.04
- Realized PnL
- $148.82
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$16.08
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $370.62
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $330.46
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $983.5
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $9.91
- Potential payout
- $793.04
- Potential profit
- $783.13
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.77
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $290
- User PnL
- -$10.15
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$58
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $77
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $46.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $79.6
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.74
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 28.8% 200 shares
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 91% 50 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 400 shares
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 430 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 19% 392.41 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.8% 159 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 34% 159.19 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 99.8% 40 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 29.8% 81.59 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes 96.2% 40 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 51.9% 182.59 shares