Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.95
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Polymarket Trader
parreca3000
0x33f95c491ca15b1743da3e0d08938000a7c4603d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.85
- Realized PnL
- $231.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$63.2
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$42.9
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$32.5
No position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $25.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Under position
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Down position
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $410?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $850M and $900M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 18?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 18?Yes 86% 20 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?No 47% 5 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No 2% 300 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes 57% 100 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes 57% 7.33 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes 57% 2.22 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?Yes 13% 1.11 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on February 17?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up 43% 1.28 shares
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Yes 45% 11.53 shares
- S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?No 50% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "Star" at Fort Bragg on Friday?No 21% 20 shares