Polymarket Trader

LethalRp

0x3412c3253e337f51c5434f7b49de6f4b32624e9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.68
Realized PnL: -$142.83
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $26.39
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $29.17
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $16.39

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $3.29
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $28.97
Multiplier: 9.81x
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$44.99

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 526.32 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 1,052.63 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 526.32 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 526.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Down 24% 12.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 57.47 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 27.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 48% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 1% 500 shares