Polymarket Trader

Randomizer1

0x34130f7d648d43bcc79fe7d1a633f2f0df47a359

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.93K
Realized PnL: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.48K
Potential profit: $6.48K
User PnL: -$819.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84K
Potential profit: $4.84K
User PnL: -$1.84K

No position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.02
User PnL: $347.26

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $761
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$339

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $819.86
Potential profit: $819.86
User PnL: -$76.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $539.9
Potential profit: $525.05
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $491.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.84
Potential profit: $469.84
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $377.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $22.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $315
User PnL: -$201.67

Yes position

Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.73
Potential profit: $267.73
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.73
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $148.13
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $141.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $98.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.68
Potential profit: $26.67
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.64

Yes position

Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.31

No position

Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.29

No position

Will RFK ban pharma ads before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

No position

Will Cluely declare bankruptcy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74

No position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Larry Page be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

Yes 5.9% 20 shares
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Yes 20.8% 479.99 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 20% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 79% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 80% 1,000 shares
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 77% 220 shares
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

Yes 50.1% 5 shares
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?

Yes 68% 300 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

No 0.4% 2,500 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 88.7% 360 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Yes 9.8% 400 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 88.7% 29 shares