Polymarket Trader

Cigarettes-645

0x34134e7c29b654c4f53ec213e6f35808b3f05204

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.13K
Realized PnL: $231.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.04K
Potential profit: $14.04K
User PnL: -$2.66K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $13.25K
User PnL: -$3.53K

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01K
Potential profit: $10.01K
User PnL: -$2.09K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.05K
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.86K
Potential profit: $4.86K
User PnL: -$142.34

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.46K
Potential profit: $4.46K
User PnL: -$1.82K

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$1.64K

No position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.57K
User PnL: -$744.73

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.48K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.71K
User PnL: -$172.78

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$335.31

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.52K
User PnL: -$869.66

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$47.47

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$527.74

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$124.41

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$352.8

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $74.26
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$33.07

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $994.29
Potential profit: $994.29
User PnL: -$944.3

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $792.24
Potential profit: $792.24
User PnL: -$40.64

Yes position

Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.91
Potential profit: $766.91
User PnL: -$18.97

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627
Potential profit: $627
User PnL: -$41.08

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $626.04
Potential profit: $626.04
User PnL: -$82.86

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $618.18
Potential profit: $618.18
User PnL: -$144.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.66K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17K

Yes position

Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36K

No position

Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.08K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in January?

Ends Feb 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1K

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.08K

No position

Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15K

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.96K

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 5.5% 183 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 5% 105 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 12.4% 41 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 17% 85 shares
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Yes 43.8% 26 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 30% 78 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 36.5% 554.93 shares
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Yes 74.3% 12.11 shares
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 44% 29 shares
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.6% 43 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 95% 994.29 shares