Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $34.8
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $5.4
Polymarket Trader
governmentcity
0x341e8b46f818dd24f2f006d63e4f3f8e63a22a9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.02
- Realized PnL
- $7.79
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $13.82
- Potential payout
- $38.92
- Potential profit
- $25.1
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2025-10-12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 33% 60 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes 37% 18.92 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 89% 10.86 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.8% 10.55 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 77% 1.3 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 70% 5.12 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 78% 5.13 shares