Polymarket Trader

liq2

0x3423c5cc44b93ae9fedf8d6a25f45a0e9d15fe57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.49K
Realized PnL: $71.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $745.91
Potential profit: $744.79
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $503.49
Potential payout: $745.91
Potential profit: $242.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $129.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $242.42
Potential payout: $745.91
Potential profit: $503.49
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$93.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $745.91
Potential profit: $741.06
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$15.79

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $205.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $94.5
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $70.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $189.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $99.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $79.76
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $55.09
Potential payout: $66.77
Potential profit: $11.68
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $51.89
Potential profit: $51.29
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $28.36
Potential payout: $51.1
Potential profit: $22.74
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $15.15
Potential payout: $50.49
Potential profit: $35.34
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.9
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$6.72

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.73
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $21.85
Potential profit: $18.46
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $12.02
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $11.83
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will CZ post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.3
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $989.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2% 128.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 49.2% 133.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 126.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 47% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 131.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 47% 135 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 55% 26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 105 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 26.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 50% 11.79 shares