Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $94.83
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $20.11
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Polymarket Trader
riddik1
0x34347f72a11cf3644a6f0ab4faccbefd13d25a72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.89
- Realized PnL
- $762.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $23.7
- Potential payout
- $57.79
- Potential profit
- $34.1
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$19.1
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.81
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.26
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.56
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.38
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 44% 106.06 shares
- Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?Yes 51.9% 57.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 85% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 66% 106.06 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 4.2% 35.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 59% 144.24 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 28% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 71% 70.42 shares