Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $493.14
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$80.33
Polymarket Trader
bakayo33 - 9934
0x343d12f9524dc527979a28390ad138ec6fe1cd2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.98K
- Realized PnL
- $8.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $28.51
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.49
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $907.5
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $56.5
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.32
- Potential profit
- $914.32
- User PnL
- -$495.46
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $762.24
- Potential payout
- $871.13
- Potential profit
- $108.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $55.54
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $153.46
- Potential payout
- $743.16
- Potential profit
- $589.69
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$103.07
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $597.32
- Potential payout
- $660.02
- Potential profit
- $62.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $515.85
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $54.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $59.7
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $485.35
- Potential payout
- $486.57
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- User PnL
- $133.38
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $275.93
- Potential payout
- $414.93
- Potential profit
- $139
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $376.6
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $372.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $27.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $332.49
- Potential payout
- $379.99
- Potential profit
- $47.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $175.74
- Potential payout
- $369.98
- Potential profit
- $194.24
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$10.95
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $364.99
- Potential profit
- $364.99
- User PnL
- -$163.45
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $299.2
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $20.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $54.8
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $305.98
- Potential payout
- $310.01
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.67
Mandel Nallo position
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$189
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$221
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $24.5
No position
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $275.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $24.45
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $34.25
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $219
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$14.8
No position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $268.26
- Potential payout
- $298.07
- Potential profit
- $29.81
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $33.6
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $246.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$150.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.48
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.01
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.55
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.81
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.8
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.98
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.85
Yes position
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.68
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.16
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.84
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.94
No position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.98
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.01
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.38
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.03
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.28
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.22
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.64
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.57
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)Brunno Ferreira 8% 90 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)Farman Hasanov 81.1% 100 shares
- Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No 86% 50 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Yes 69% 20 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 100 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No 80% 2.97 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 79% 60 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 255.48 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 100 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)Michel Pereira 26% 10 shares
- Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 20 shares