No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $103.01
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $17.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Polymarket Trader
derschc
0x34421f77ee46c359e40fcd706b694634a3275e21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.9
- Realized PnL
- $246.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.81
- Potential profit
- $105.81
- User PnL
- -$33
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $56.73
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $37.93
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$26.88
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.32
- Potential profit
- $24.32
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.65
- Potential payout
- $17.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.51
- Potential payout
- $17.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ethereum above $3,800 on July 28?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.83
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.27
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.91
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.42
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Yes position
Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
49ers position
49ers vs. Buccaneers
Ends Nov 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Angels position
Mariners vs. Angels
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Maine Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?
Ends Dec 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Villa win on 2024-11-09?
Ends Nov 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 120.48 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 85% 17.65 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 88% 56.82 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 59 shares
- Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?No 97.1% 17.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 63.64 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 93% 118.28 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 89% 22.47 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 82% 24.39 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 86% 11.63 shares