No position
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Elver-Galarga
@IP__88
0x3458152bac216f4743fb3afb9012318a4ad32356
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.81
- Realized PnL
- $517.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $404.68
- Potential profit
- $404.68
- User PnL
- -$309.35
Yes position
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.75
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.4
- Potential profit
- $135.4
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.2
- Potential profit
- $127.2
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $118
- User PnL
- -$51.92
Yes position
Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.24
- Potential profit
- $107.24
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $87.46
- Potential payout
- $94.05
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.46
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $92.6
- Potential profit
- $86.26
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.41
- Potential profit
- $88.41
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.16
- Potential profit
- $78.16
- User PnL
- -$6.95
Yes position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.92
- Potential profit
- $72.92
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.55
- Potential profit
- $49.55
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.45
- Potential profit
- $42.45
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.4
- Potential profit
- $38.4
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.6
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- User PnL
- -$8.67
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.84
- Potential profit
- $31.84
- User PnL
- -$24.83
Yes position
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.45
- Potential profit
- $31.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.06
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.25
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.77
Yes position
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.84
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.47
Yes position
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.11
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.48
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.98
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
Yes position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.71
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 84% 94.05 shares
- Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 73.2% 110.27 shares
- Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 70.4% 110.27 shares
- Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 0.6% 105.26 shares
- Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.9% 105.26 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?24.5% 22.91 shares
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?28.9% 50.8 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 AND New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?35.9% 21.23 shares
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Japan (-2.5) AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?21.6% 35.46 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 5.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?22.5% 31.11 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 93.6% 31.25 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 31.25 shares