gensoc

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $8.07K
Potential payout: $10.41K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $779.18

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $1.97K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.04K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $315

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.75K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.83K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $295

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $595
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.41K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$265

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.64K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$375

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $714
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.29K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $565
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.44K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $245

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $575
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.43K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.71K
Potential payout: $5.51K
Potential profit: $798.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $796.34
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$309.37

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.71

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$244.05

Yes position

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $836.43
Potential profit: $836.43
User PnL: -$174.74

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $486.5
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$105.36

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $317.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $182.5
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$55.62

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $150.87
Potential payout: $163.1
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $33.44

Yes position

Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.41
Potential profit: $105.41
User PnL: -$27.41

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.37
Potential profit: $105.37
User PnL: -$24.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.02K

Yes position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.86

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.76

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.17

Yes position

Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET