Polymarket Trader

sooltanpalace

0x3474416a64445f76708aa0c3fd787988149fbe04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $948.77
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $745
Potential profit: $745
User PnL: -$506.6

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $158.27
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $487.73
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$61.37

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.3%
Current value: $297.2
Potential payout: $629
Potential profit: $331.8
Multiplier: 2.12x
User PnL: -$206

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393
Potential profit: $393
User PnL: -$145.41

Over position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379
Potential profit: $379
User PnL: -$306.99

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337
Potential profit: $337
User PnL: -$165.13

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $171.08
Potential payout: $329
Potential profit: $157.92
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $85.54

SpaceX position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $318
Potential payout: $318
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $38.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$1.31

Over position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $165
User PnL: -$41.25

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $98.79
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$48.81

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$12.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.33

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.76

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 9PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.66

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.44

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $167.08

No position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.44

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.69

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.53

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.83

Yes position

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.4

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.03

Yes position

Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.77

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $49.06

Yes position

Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.97

Yes position

Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.83

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.24

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $19.58

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $18.47

No position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.27

No position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Lamar Cardinals position

East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.13

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.48

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 610 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 1,091 shares
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 1,091 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 82% 580 shares
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

No 49% 557 shares
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

No 51% 557 shares
Anduril IPO before 2027?

No 80% 580 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 70% 610 shares
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

No 95.3% 6 shares
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Yes 54% 23 shares
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

No 99.9% 578 shares
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 81% 104 shares