N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.42
- Potential profit
- $316.42
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
gkmm8
0x34756ccf072736b34beb09a976019d638b4af2a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.88
- Realized PnL
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.12
- Potential profit
- $42.12
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.43
- Potential profit
- $30.43
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $26.87
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.63
- Potential profit
- $25.63
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.76
- Potential profit
- $18.76
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Truist Championship?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.12
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.52
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.84
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.76
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 97.8% 26.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.3% 699.34 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 94.8% 316.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 15.3% 699.35 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 99.9% 1,907.99 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 17.3% 83.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 87% 1,908 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 24% 83.33 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 72% 416.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 81.3% 2,447.87 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 95% 26.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 2,447.87 shares