No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
ultimatedd
0x347b027fb5e90170036f8e7a99faed6c067103fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.57
- Realized PnL
- $62.35
- Win rate
- 47.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Trump say "Fart" during Digital Asset Summit?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Walmart buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will 'Wicked' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.3% 41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.3% 41 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 24 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 24 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 61% 79 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 31 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 40 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 56 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 15% 90 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 90 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 45% 13 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 45% 13 shares