Polymarket Trader

Arstrong

@ei9zNs5sBcOjdZO

0x34a5d4a84a2e44d44fe946fd19e921582db78a20

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $97.71
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $62.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $125.23
Potential payout: $128.24
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $28.55
Potential payout: $29.79
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.06
Potential profit: $26.06
User PnL: -$17

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $17.41
Potential payout: $17.49
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.82

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 94.4% 1,164.73 shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.9% 128.24 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 98.3% 18.31 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 67% 25.6 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 94% 29.79 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

No 98.4% 1,233.08 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

No 48% 50.42 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.5% 1,244.26 shares
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

No 94.5% 19.32 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.5% 1,244.26 shares
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.6% 1,255.02 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 77% 29.73 shares