Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.1
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $6.9
Polymarket Trader
ElCapotan
0x34aa7638d23f9e7abc1a733547cd70276af5092c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.58
- Realized PnL
- $24.28
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $114.68
- Potential payout
- $137.34
- Potential profit
- $22.66
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $89.52
- Potential profit
- $86.52
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.8
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 83% 137.34 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 38.38 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes 0.6% 174.24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 38.38 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 74% 71.34 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 10.4% 47.85 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes 2.9% 174.25 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 86% 32.72 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 85% 8.24 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 85% 24.49 shares