Polymarket Trader

richardd

0x34cb173d34b6c8de809399dae2a595a525827588

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.78K
Realized PnL: $2.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $5.41K
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: -$2.11K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $5.41K
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.16K

Yes position

Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.8
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$86.91

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.1
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $187.67
Potential profit: $185.04
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $161.39
Potential profit: $160.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $153.3
Potential profit: $150.46
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $134.39
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $119.98
Potential profit: $119.32
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $114.99
Potential profit: $114.7
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $102.83
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $10.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $101.11
Potential profit: $93.53
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $100.03
Potential profit: $92.28
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $97.7
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.67

No position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $79.23
Potential payout: $87.55
Potential profit: $8.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $80.5
Potential profit: $78.93
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $70.5
Potential profit: $68.28
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Jonathan Berry as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $47.88
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $7.12
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Syria sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.7
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Kennesaw State Owls position

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $449.63

Cristian Garin position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $324.81

Akron Zips position

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.19

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $183.48

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.03

Yes position

Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $151.06

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.28

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.99

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.32

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.81

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.38

No position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.94

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.36

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $74.3

Saint Louis Billikens position

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.84

Iowa State Cyclones position

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.7

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $69.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $64.8

Yes position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

No 89% 50 shares
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 5.9% 200 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

No 11% 10 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

No 88% 50 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Yes 88% 30 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Yes 88% 30 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

No 88% 50 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

No 13% 70 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 7% 200 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?

Yes 14% 41.62 shares