Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $268.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
moneypuff
0x34ce13ac856d9a97f9455ec05950b79479e39261
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $69.25
- Realized PnL
- $926.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.2
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $173
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.05
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$20.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Texans position
Texans vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Lightning position
Blues vs. Lightning
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Grizzlies position
Bucks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $59.16
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.3
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Bruins
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Mozambique win on 2025-12-28?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.96
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Patriots position
Texans vs. Patriots
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Flames position
Oilers vs. Flames
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.68
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Maple Leafs position
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Canadiens position
Penguins vs. Canadiens
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Oilers position
Blues vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Oilers position
Golden Knights vs. Oilers
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Oilers position
Flames vs. Oilers
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Penguins position
Canadiens vs. Penguins
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 200 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 2.5% 120.26 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 33.1% 200 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots 33% 500 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?Yes 95% 10 shares
- No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.4% 200 shares
- Blues vs. OilersOilers 89.7% 119.66 shares
- Blues vs. OilersOilers 58% 10 shares
- Oilers vs. CanucksOilers 64% 100 shares