N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $79.17
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $180.83
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $27.66
Polymarket Trader
TEST202603
0x34d26774fd1da31b63079f849bfa3fbafad6cc86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.17
- Realized PnL
- $132.53
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.06
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 60 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp 30% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 10% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 6% 9.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown 10% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 4.5% 107.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp 3% 107.2 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?No 75.4% 74.65 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?Yes 88.1% 54.53 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?Yes 88.3% 10 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.4% 308 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 50.8% 875.42 shares