No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $5.82
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Polymarket Trader
0x34df...ba27
0x34dfaf5490d5e78ef85fe62bff8b507611ddba27
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $48.74
- Realized PnL
- -$30.89
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $8.99
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.99
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Y
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes 73% 10.64 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 80% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?Yes 29% 6 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 13?No 24% 6.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 28% 6.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 26% 6.5 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 32% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 77.2% 6.06 shares
- Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $3.1B?Yes 30% 7 shares
- Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?Yes 56% 8.14 shares