Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
VARGANT
0x34eaa915aecc3076b0b3c8719abc687366ed3955
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.27
- Realized PnL
- $555.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $745.13
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $66.16
- Potential payout
- $696.4
- Potential profit
- $630.24
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$45.27
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $295.35
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $32.32
- Potential payout
- $184.7
- Potential profit
- $152.38
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
OKX IPO in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $16.72
- Potential payout
- $159.21
- Potential profit
- $142.49
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $28.37
- Potential payout
- $157.63
- Potential profit
- $129.25
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $113.94
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Norway position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.13
- Potential profit
- $40.13
- User PnL
- -$8.83
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $28.1
- Potential profit
- $20.37
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Under position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.06
- Potential profit
- $20.06
- User PnL
- -$5.42
N
No position
France leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.06
- Potential profit
- $20.06
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Yes position
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $20.05
- User PnL
- -$7.22
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $20.05
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Iraq position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $20.05
- User PnL
- -$9.02
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.04
- Potential profit
- $20.04
- User PnL
- -$6.41
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $19.17
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $10.6
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.81
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.19
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $25.34
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $25.11
Yes position
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.93
Yes position
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.72
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.06
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.95
Yes position
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.78
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.66
Yes position
Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.98
No position
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Yes position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.82
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.46
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 600 shares
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?No 86% 40.06 shares
- Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 58% 2.26 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway 22% 20.08 shares
- Norway leading at halftime?Yes 32% 20.04 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?Yes 32% 20.04 shares
- Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?No 90% 40.06 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway 22% 20.05 shares
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreYes 36% 20.05 shares
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under 27% 20.06 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)Iraq 45% 20.05 shares
- France leading at halftime?No 26% 20.06 shares